Pro Baseball Terminal — MLB projections, standings & analytics

Division

AFC West

Team	2025 Rec	Win Div	Playoff
DEN	14-3	34%	50%
LAC	11-6	17%	30%
KC	6-11	45%	61%
LV	3-14	3%	7%

Record = 2025 final · odds = 2026 simulation

2026 Outlook

Projected wins

9.0p10 7.0 — p90 12.0

Round	Prob
Win division	45.5%
Make playoffs	61.2%
Divisional rd.	34.9%
Conf. champ.	16.7%
Super Bowl	7.8%
Win SB	4.2%

2026 Schedule

proj record 9.3–7.7

Schedule

14th

toughest of 32

Offenses faced

14th

toughest of 32

Defenses faced

18th

toughest of 32

Wk	Opp	Opp	Score	Proj	Win%
1	vsDEN	+1.3	21–23	-2.0	44%
2	vsIND	+3.4	27–23	+3.3	60%
3	@MIA	-1.4	27–23	+4.0	62%
4	@LV	-4.9	25–21	+4.2	62%
6	vsLAC	-0.0	25–22	+2.6	58%
7	@SEA	+6.9	18–24	-6.6	31%
8	@DEN	+1.3	20–24	-4.1	38%
9	vsNYJ	-7.0	30–20	+9.3	75%
10	@ATL	-2.0	24–22	+2.4	57%
11	vsARI	-1.7	31–24	+6.8	69%
12	@BUF	+4.9	24–29	-5.2	35%
13	@LAR	+7.0	22–29	-7.1	30%
14	@CIN	+0.2	30–29	+0.8	52%
15	vsNE	+0.8	23–25	-1.7	45%
16	vsSF	+3.7	29–27	+1.7	55%
17	@LAC	-0.0	24–25	-1.3	46%
18	vsLV	-4.9	27–19	+7.5	71%

Quarterbacks · 4

Pos	Depth	Player	Ht	Wt	Age	College
QB	1st	Patrick Mahomes	6'2"	225	30	Texas Tech
QB	2nd	Justin Fields	6'3"	227	27	Ohio State
QB	3rd	Garrett Nussmeier	6'1"	205	24	LSU
QB	4th	Chris Oladokun	6'1"	213	28	South Dakota State

Running Backs · 5

Pos	Depth	Player	Ht	Wt	Age	College
RB	1st	Kenneth Walker III	5'9"	211	25	Michigan State
RB	2nd	Emmett Johnson	5'11"	200	22	Nebraska
RB	3rd	Emari Demercado	5'9"	215	27	TCU
RB	4th	Brashard Smith	5'10"	196	23	SMU
RB	5th	Jaydn Ott	5'11"	208	23	Oklahoma

Wide Receivers · 13

Pos	Depth	Player	Ht	Wt	Age	College
WR	1st	Rashee Rice	6'1"	204	26	SMU
WR	2nd	Xavier Worthy	5'11"	165	23	Texas
WR	3rd	Tyquan Thornton	6'2"	185	25	Baylor
WR	4th	Jalen Royals	6'0"	195	23	Utah State
WR	5th	Cyrus Allen	5'11"	180	23	Cincinnati
WR	6th	Nikko Remigio	5'9"	187	26	Fresno State
WR	7th	Jason Brownlee	6'3"	202	27	Southern Miss
WR	9th	Andrew Armstrong	6'4"	210	25	Arkansas
WR	10th	Jeff Caldwell	6'5"	215	23	Cincinnati
WR	—	Jacob De Jesus	5'6"	174	24	California; UNLV; Modesto Junior College
WR	—	Jimmy Holiday	6'1"	211	24	Louisiana Tech; Western Kentucky; Tennessee
WR	—	Omari Evans	6'0"	195	—	Washington
WR	—	Xavier Loyd	6'2"	196	23	Missouri; Illinois State

Tight Ends · 6

Pos	Depth	Player	Ht	Wt	Age	College
TE	1st	Travis Kelce	6'5"	250	36	Cincinnati
TE	2nd	Noah Gray	6'3"	240	27	Duke
TE	3rd	Jared Wiley	6'6"	249	25	TCU
TE	4th	Jake Briningstool	6'6"	240	23	Clemson
TE	7th	John Michael Gyllenborg	6'5"	250	23	Wyoming
TE	—	Tre Watson	6'5"	250	23	Texas A&M; Fresno State

Offensive Line · 16

Pos	Depth	Player	Ht	Wt	Age	College
OL	—	C.J. Hanson	6'5"	300	25	Holy Cross
OL	—	Chukwuebuka Godrick	6'5"	293	25
OL	—	Creed Humphrey	6'4"	302	26	Oklahoma
OL	—	Esa Pole	6'7"	319	24	Washington State; Chabot College
OL	—	Ethan Driskell	6'8"	313	25	Marshall
OL	—	Hunter Nourzad	6'3"	317	25	Penn State; Cornell
OL	—	Jaylon Moore	6'4"	311	28	Western Michigan
OL	—	Josh Simmons	6'5"	310	23	Ohio State; San Diego State
OL	—	Josh Thompson	6'4"	315	23	LSU; Northwestern
OL	—	Kahlil Benson	6'6"	321	23	Indiana; Colorado
OL	—	Kingsley Suamataia	6'4"	326	23	BYU; Oregon
OL	—	Matt Waletzko	6'8"	305	26	North Dakota
OL	—	Mike Caliendo	6'4"	300	28	Western Michigan
OL	—	Pete Nygra	6'4"	295	—	Louisville; Northern Illinois
OL	—	Trey Smith	6'6"	321	27	Tennessee
OL	—	Wanya Morris	6'6"	307	25	Oklahoma; Tennessee

Interior D-Line · 9

Pos	Depth	Player	Ht	Wt	Age	College
LDT	1st	Chris Jones	6'6"	310	31	Mississippi State
RDT	1st	Khyiris Tonga	6'2"	335	29	Brigham Young
LDT	2nd	Peter Woods	6'2"	315	21	Clemson
RDT	2nd	Omarr Norman-Lott	6'3"	315	24	Tennessee
LDT	3rd	Marcus Harris	6'2"	298	25	Auburn
DL	—	Amari McNeill	6'4"	300	23	Colorado; Tennessee
DL	—	Anthony Dunn	6'4"	262	—	Toledo
DL	—	Cole Brevard	6'3"	346	24	Texas
DL	—	Damon Payne	6'4"	314	23	Michigan; Alabama

Edge Rushers · 6

Pos	Depth	Player	Ht	Wt	Age	College
LDE	1st	George Karlaftis	6'4"	263	25	Purdue
RDE	1st	Felix Anudike-Uzomah	6'4"	255	24	Kansas State
LDE	2nd	Ashton Gillotte	6'3"	270	23	Louisville
RDE	2nd	R Mason Thomas	6'2"	240	21	Oklahoma
LDE	3rd	Ethan Downs	6'4"	263	23	Oklahoma
RDE	4th	Tyreke Smith	6'3"	255	26	Ohio State

Linebackers · 8

Pos	Depth	Player	Ht	Wt	Age	College
MLB	1st	Nick Bolton	5'11"	237	26	Missouri
SLB	1st	Cole Christiansen	6'1"	230	28	Army
WLB	1st	Drue Tranquill	6'2"	234	30	Notre Dame
MLB	2nd	Jack Cochrane	6'3"	236	27	South Dakota
WLB	2nd	Jeffrey Bassa	6'2"	235	23	Oregon
RDE	3rd	Cooper McDonald	6'3"	240	24	TCU
LB	—	Kam Arnold	6'1"	229	24	Boston College
LB	—	Wesley Bissainthe	6'1"	225	22	Miami

Defensive Backs · 19

Pos	Depth	Player	Ht	Wt	Age	College
FS	1st	Alohi Gilman	5'10"	201	28	Notre Dame
LCB	1st	L'Jarius Sneed	6'1"	192	29	Louisiana Tech
NB	1st	Kader Kohou	5'10"	197	27	Texas A&M Commerce
RCB	1st	Mansoor Delane	6'0"	187	22	LSU
SS	1st	Chamarri Conner	6'0"	202	25	Virginia Tech
LCB	2nd	Nohl Williams	6'1"	200	23	California
NB	2nd	Jadon Canady	5'11"	181	23	Oregon
RCB	2nd	Kristian Fulton	5'11"	197	27	LSU
SS	2nd	Jaden Hicks	6'1"	215	23	Washington State
NB	3rd	Chris Roland-Wallace	5'11"	202	24	USC
RCB	3rd	Kaiir Elam	6'1"	191	25	Florida
NB	4th	Kevin Knowles	5'11"	190	23	Florida State
NB	5th	Tanner McCalister	5'11"	191	26	Ohio State
DB	—	Bryce Phillips	6'0"	195	—	San Diego State; Tennessee State
DB	—	D'Arco Perkins-McAllister	6'1"	195	23	Louisiana-Monroe
DB	—	DeShon Singleton	6'3"	205	23	Nebraska; Hutchinson CC
DB	—	Melvin Smith Jr.	6'1"	185	24	Southern Arkansas
DB	—	Xavier Nwankpa	6'2"	208	22	Iowa
DB	—	Zelmar Vedder	6'3"	195	—	Houston; Sacramento State

Special Teams · 10

Pos	Depth	Player	Ht	Wt	Age	College
H	1st	Matt Araiza	6'1"	200	26	San Diego State
KR	1st	Nikko Remigio	5'9"	187	26	Fresno State
LS	1st	James Winchester	6'3"	240	36	Oklahoma
P	1st	Matt Araiza	6'1"	200	26	San Diego State
PK	1st	Harrison Butker	6'4"	205	30	Georgia Tech
PR	1st	Nikko Remigio	5'9"	187	26	Fresno State
KR	2nd	Brashard Smith	5'10"	196	23	SMU
PR	2nd	Brashard Smith	5'10"	196	23	SMU
KR	3rd	Xavier Worthy	5'11"	165	23	Texas
PR	3rd	Tyquan Thornton	6'2"	185	25	Baylor

Team Profile

2025 · pct vs league

Pass Off	0.04	#13	61%
Rush Off	0.03	#7	81%
Pass Def	0	#15	55%
Rush Def	-0.04	#12	65%
Scoring Off	362	#21	35%
Scoring Def	328	#6	84%

Advanced Profile

2025 · rank of 32

Pass Protection

Pressure % allowed24.3%23rd

Sack % allowed7.5%20th

Pocket time2.21s30th

Run Blocking

Yds before contact / rush2.6yd13th

Pass Rush

Pressures14018th

Sacks3327th

Coverage

Completion % allowed70.4%29th

Passer rtg allowed9923rd

Special Teams

FG %86.8%12th

Punt net avg41.3yd19th

Identity

Avg depth of target7.8yd—

aggregated from roster PFR / special-teams stats · green = top of league

EPA Trend

EPA/play by season · adj

NetOffDefDef: lower = better

Performance · 2025

6-11 · +34 pt diff

Metric	Off	Def	Rk
EPA / play (adj)	+0.041	+0.016	13
EPA / play (raw)	+0.039	+0.012	13/12
Pass EPA	+0.040	-0.002	13/15
Rush EPA	+0.027	-0.043	7/12
Points	362	328	—

Lower def EPA = better. Ranks: 1 best, 32 worst.

Team Leaders

2025

Passing Yds	Mahomes3,587·Oladokun235·Buechele88
Rushing Yds	Hunt611·Pacheco462·Mahomes422
Receiving Yds	Kelce851·Brown587·Rice571
Sacks	Jones7.0·Karlaftis6.0·Omenihu3.5
Interceptions	Watson2·Danna1·Cochrane1
Solo Tackles	Conner73·Bolton69·Tranquill52

Scoring Trend

2025 · pts/game

PPG For

21.3

21st in NFL

PPG Against

19.3

6th in NFL

Differential

12th in NFL

— Points for— Points against

dots: W / L

Season Results

6-11 · 6-11 ATS

WinLossCoveredmargin per game

Season History · last 10

9 playoffs · SB 3-2

Season	Regular	Playoffs	Super Bowl
2025	6-11	—	—
2024	15-2	2-1	Lost
2023	11-6	4-0	Won
2022	14-3	3-0	Won
2021	12-5	2-1	—
2020	14-2	2-1	Lost
2019	12-4	3-0	Won
2018	12-4	1-1	—
2017	10-6	0-1	—
2016	12-4	0-1	—

Situational Splits

2025 · record · pts

Split	Record	PF	PA
Venue
Home	5-4	22.4	15.6
Away	1-7	20	23.5
Competition
One-score (≤8)	1-9	19.5	22.9
vs Winning teams	1-8	19.1	22.3
Environment
Indoors	0-3	20.3	24
Outdoors	6-8	21.5	18.3
Grass	5-8	20.8	17.9
Turf	1-2	23.7	22.7
Cold (<40°F)	0-1	10	20

Recent Form · last 5

0-5 SU · 1-4 ATS · O0/U5

Wk	Opp	Score	Mgn	Spread	Total
18	@LV	L 12-14	-2	+3.5✗	36.5U
17	vsDEN	L 13-20	-7	-13.5✓	37.5U
16	@TEN	L 9-26	-17	+3.5✗	37.5U
15	vsLAC	L 13-16	-3	+5.5✗	41.5U
14	vsHOU	L 10-20	-10	+4.5✗	41.5U

Betting Profile

2025

Straight up	6-11
ATS	6-1135%
Over / Under	4-13 O-U
— ATS splits —
As favorite	2-1
As underdog	4-10
Home	5-4
Away	1-7

vs closing line · splits show cover-no cover

Cap & Roster Construction

APY $260M· gtd $392M

OFF $129M (50%)DEF $123M (47%)ST $7.5M

Group	Players	APY	% Total
QB	3	$75.9M	29%
RB	3	$16.7M	6%
WR	7	$14.9M	6%
TE	5	$21.9M	8%
DL	4	$41.4M	16%
EDGE	5	$28.6M	11%
LB	6	$23.3M	9%
DB	11	$29.6M	11%
ST	2	$7.5M	3%

Top Contracts

Player	Yrs	Total	Gtd	APY	Cap%
Patrick MahomesQB	7	$448M	$93.5M	$64.0M	21.2%
Chris JonesDT	5	$159M	$60.0M	$31.8M	12.4%
George KarlaftisDE	4	$88.0M	$32.0M	$22.0M	7.9%
Nick BoltonLB	3	$45.0M	$30.0M	$15.0M	5.4%
Kenneth Walker IIIRB	3	$43.0M	$28.7M	$14.3M	4.8%
Travis KelceTE	1	$12.0M	$12.0M	$12.0M	4.0%

Pending Free Agents

Player	Free	APY
Justin FieldsQB	2026	$11.0M
Travis KelceTE	2027	$12.0M
Kristian FultonCB	2027	$10.0M
Noah GrayTE	2027	$6.0M
Drue TranquillLB	2027	$3.5M
Felix Anudike-UzomahDE	2027	$3.0M
Kaiir ElamCB	2027	$1.8M
Kader KohouCB	2027	$1.8M

Roster Profile

avg age 25.4

R1 9Day2 12Day3 23UDFA 19

Homegrown 0 (0%)Acquired 63

Avg experience3.2 yrs

Rookies / Vets (8+ yr)10 / 5

Group	Players	Avg Age
QB	4	27.2
RB	5	24
WR	9	24.6
TE	5	26.8
DL	5	26
EDGE	6	23.7
LB	6	26.3
DB	13	25
ST	10	26.4

Injury Report · 4

last report week 0

Pos	Player	Status
WR	Rashee Rice	Questionable
CB	Mansoor Delane	Questionable
WR	Xavier Worthy	Questionable
QB	Patrick Mahomes	Questionable

KC News

20 items

Report: Mike Pennel knew woman whose body was found on his property
In April, ESPN reported that free-agent defensive lineman Mike Pennel is a "person of interest" in connection with the death of a woman whose body was found on property Pennel previously owned in the Dominican Republic.
KC Mike Pennel14h
Investigation: Pennel had relationship with woman whose body found; NFL vet says he didn't know her
Michael Pennel Jr. had an ongoing relationship with a young woman whose body was found on a property he owned when she went missing, an ESPN investigation found, contradicting Pennel's claim he did not know her.
KC Mike Pennel16h
How good (or bad) can it get? The best- and worst-case scenarios for every NFL team in 2026
Can the Cowboys finally break through? Will Patrick Mahomes regain his MVP form? Here are the dream and nightmare outcomes for your favorite team this fall
KC Patrick Mahomes1d
Rashee Rice released from jail: What's next for Chiefs WR amid knee recovery, turbulent offseason
Despite an issue-filled offseason, Rice enters the 2026 campaign with a promising on-field outlook
KC Rashee Rice2d
What's next for Rashee Rice after release from jail?
What's next for Rashee Rice after release from jail?
KC Rashee Rice2d
Chiefs' Rashee Rice released from jail, dodges reporters
Chiefs WR Rashee Rice was released from a Dallas County jail on Tuesday after serving a 30-day sentence for violating the terms of his probation.
KC Rashee Rice2d
Rashee Rice released from jail on Tuesday
Chiefs receiver Rashee Rice has been released from jail in Texas.
KC Rashee Rice2d
Rashee Rice is due to be released from jail on Tuesday
Rice eventually was permitted to rehab his knees while serving 30 days.
KC Rashee Rice3d
Chiefs announce 2026 training camp schedule
The Chiefs have shared their plans for this summer's training camp.
KC3d
Andy Reid, Patrick Mahomes pleased with what Kenneth Walker is bringing to Chiefs' offense
The Chiefs made a big offseason move to sign running back Kenneth Walker, the reigning Super Bowl MVP, away from the Seahawks.
KC Patrick Mahomes4d
Andy Reid addresses Travis Kelce-Taylor Swift wedding amid Chiefs offseason: 'You see no distractions'
As speculation continues around Kelce and Swift's rumored wedding, Reid says his star tight end remains focused on football
KC Travis Kelce4d
After the Patrick Mahomes deal, which quarterbacks are next to get paid?
The list is led by Lamar Jackson.
KC Patrick Mahomes4d
MSG fits the plot for Taylor Swift-Travis Kelce wedding
As for where they're getting married, has the "Life of a Showgirl" singer already spelled it out for us?
KC Travis Kelce5d
Andy Reid "can't talk about" the upcoming Travis Kelce, Taylor Swift wedding
The wedding of Chiefs tight end Travis Kelce and a random, no-name Knicks fan is coming.
KC Travis Kelce5d
Xavier Worthy: Lessons learned rehabbing my shoulder might have been the best thing for me
Xavier Worthy ran the fastest 40-yard dash in Scouting Combine history before the Chiefs took him in the first round of the 2024 NFL draft, so when asked about competing with the Chiefs' other wide receivers on the practice field, Worthy said he knows he'll always stand out.
KC Xavier Worthy6d
Andy Reid: Chiefs LT Josh Simmons may gain weight, but you don't want cheeseburger weight
Simmons said he currently weighs around 285-290 pounds, which makes him one of the lightest tackles in the NFL.
KC Josh Simmons6d
Kenneth Walker III missed Super Bowl ring ceremony
On Thursday night, the Seahawks got their Super Bowl rings.
KC Kenneth Walker III6d
Travis Kelce joins Taylor Swift for Songwriters Hall of Fame induction
The Chiefs tight end flew 1,100 miles to support his fiancée at her Songwriters Hall of Fame induction.
KC Travis Kelce6d
Inside the latest Patrick Mahomes deal
Mahomes received a $54.5 million signing bonus.
KC Patrick Mahomes6d
NFL will not discipline Chiefs assistant Dave Merritt after domestic battery case dismissed
Chiefs defensive backs coach Dave Merritt is not facing discipline under the NFL's personal conduct policy after a domestic battery charge against him was dismissed.
KC7d