Division
NFC South
2026 Outlook
Projected wins
9.0p10 6.0 — p90 12.0
| Round | Prob | |
|---|---|---|
| Win division | 55.5% | |
| Make playoffs | 61.4% | |
| Divisional rd. | 30.7% | |
| Conf. champ. | 12.6% | |
| Super Bowl | 5.1% | |
| Win SB | 1.7% |
2026 Schedule
proj record 9.2–7.8
Schedule
27th
toughest of 32
Offenses faced
29th
toughest of 32
Defenses faced
19th
toughest of 32
| Wk | Opp | Opp | Score | Proj | Win% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @CIN | +0.2 | 30–31 | -1.0 | 47% |
| 2 | vsCLE | -6.0 | 23–15 | +7.2 | 70% |
| 3 | vsMIN | +1.2 | 20–23 | -2.7 | 42% |
| 4 | vsGB | +2.2 | 24–27 | -3.0 | 41% |
| 5 | @DAL | -1.0 | 29–29 | +0.5 | 51% |
| 6 | vsPIT | -0.1 | 24–22 | +1.9 | 56% |
| 7 | @CAR | -3.1 | 25–21 | +4.2 | 62% |
| 8 | vsATL | -2.0 | 24–21 | +2.5 | 57% |
| 9 | @CHI | +0.2 | 24–28 | -3.1 | 41% |
| 11 | @DET | +3.8 | 22–28 | -6.4 | 32% |
| 12 | vsCAR | -3.1 | 26–20 | +6.4 | 68% |
| 13 | vsLAC | -0.0 | 23–24 | -1.1 | 47% |
| 14 | @BAL | +2.6 | 21–26 | -5.5 | 34% |
| 15 | vsNO | -5.4 | 24–21 | +3.4 | 60% |
| 16 | @ATL | -2.0 | 21–22 | -1.3 | 46% |
| 17 | vsLAR | +7.0 | 21–27 | -6.2 | 32% |
| 18 | @NO | -5.4 | 22–22 | +0.1 | 50% |
Quarterbacks · 4
| Pos | Depth | Player | Ht | Wt | Age | College |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QB | 1st | Baker Mayfield | 6'1" | 215 | 31 | Oklahoma |
| QB | 2nd | Jake Browning | 6'2" | 209 | 30 | Washington |
| QB | 4th | Jalon Daniels | 6'0" | 220 | 23 | Kansas |
| QB | — | Connor Bazelak | 6'3" | 225 | 25 | Bowling Green; Indiana; Missouri |
Running Backs · 5
| Pos | Depth | Player | Ht | Wt | Age | College |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RB | 1st | Bucky Irving | 5'10" | 195 | 23 | Oregon |
| RB | 2nd | Kenneth Gainwell | 5'9" | 200 | 27 | Memphis |
| RB | 3rd | Sean Tucker | 5'10" | 205 | 24 | Syracuse |
| RB | 4th | Josh Williams | 5'9" | 210 | 26 | LSU |
| RB | — | Kadarius Calloway | 6'0" | 213 | 24 | New Mexico State; California; Old Dominion; East Mississippi JC |
Wide Receivers · 11
| Pos | Depth | Player | Ht | Wt | Age | College |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WR | 1st | Chris Godwin | 6'1" | 209 | 30 | Penn State |
| WR | 2nd | Emeka Egbuka | 6'1" | 205 | 23 | Ohio State |
| WR | 3rd | Jalen McMillan | 6'1" | 192 | 24 | Washington |
| WR | 4th | Ted Hurst | 6'3" | 195 | 21 | Georgia State |
| WR | 5th | Tez Johnson | 5'10" | 165 | 24 | Oregon |
| WR | 6th | Kameron Johnson | 5'10" | 170 | 24 | Barton |
| WR | 7th | David Sills | 6'3" | 211 | 31 | West Virginia |
| WR | 8th | Dennis Houston | 6'1" | 190 | 27 | Western Illinois |
| WR | 10th | Eric Rivers | 5'11" | 180 | 23 | Georgia Tech |
| WR | — | Dean Patterson | 6'2" | 200 | 24 | Georgia Tech; Florida International; Findlay |
| WR | — | Garrett Greene | 5'11" | 201 | 24 | West Virginia |
Tight Ends · 5
| Pos | Depth | Player | Ht | Wt | Age | College |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TE | 1st | Cade Otton | 6'5" | 247 | 27 | Washington |
| TE | 2nd | Payne Durham | 6'5" | 255 | 26 | Purdue |
| TE | 3rd | Ko Kieft | 6'5" | 265 | 28 | Minnesota |
| TE | 4th | Bauer Sharp | 6'5" | 246 | 23 | LSU |
| TE | 5th | Devin Culp | 6'4" | 237 | 26 | Washington |
Offensive Line · 15
| Pos | Depth | Player | Ht | Wt | Age | College |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OL | — | Ben Bredeson | 6'5" | 315 | 28 | Michigan |
| OL | — | Ben Scott | 6'5" | 310 | 25 | Nebraska; Arizona State |
| OL | — | Benjamin Chukwuma | 6'6" | 310 | 25 | Georgia State |
| OL | — | Billy Schrauth | 6'4" | 310 | 22 | Notre Dame |
| OL | — | Cody Mauch | 6'6" | 303 | 27 | North Dakota State |
| OL | — | Dan Feeney | 6'4" | 310 | 32 | Indiana |
| OL | — | Elijah Klein | 6'4" | 319 | 26 | Texas-El Paso |
| OL | — | Graham Barton | 6'5" | 314 | 24 | Duke |
| OL | — | Henry Lutovsky | 6'6" | 320 | 23 | Nebraska |
| OL | — | Justin Skule | 6'6" | 315 | 29 | Vanderbilt |
| OL | — | Luke Goedeke | 6'5" | 312 | 27 | Central Michigan |
| OL | — | Luke Haggard | 6'7" | 305 | 26 | Indiana |
| OL | — | Marshall Foerner | 6'6" | 303 | 25 | Minnesota State |
| OL | — | Paul Rubelt | 6'10" | 313 | 25 | UCF |
| OL | — | Tristan Wirfs | 6'5" | 320 | 27 | Iowa |
Interior D-Line · 12
| Pos | Depth | Player | Ht | Wt | Age | College |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LDE | 1st | Elijah Roberts | 6'4" | 295 | 24 | SMU |
| NT | 1st | Vita Vea | 6'4" | 347 | 31 | Washington |
| RDE | 1st | A'Shawn Robinson | 6'3" | 320 | 31 | Alabama |
| LDE | 2nd | Calijah Kancey | 6'0" | 280 | 25 | Pittsburgh |
| NT | 2nd | Elijah Simmons | 6'1" | 334 | 24 | Tennessee |
| RDE | 2nd | Rakeem Nunez-Roches | 6'2" | 305 | 32 | Southern Miss |
| NT | 3rd | Haggai Ndubuisi | 6'6" | 298 | 25 | Nigeria |
| NT | 5th | DeMonte Capehart | 6'5" | 315 | 23 | Clemson |
| DL | — | Deshawn McKnight | 6'3" | 288 | 22 | Arizona; Tennessee-Martin |
| DL | — | Jayson Jones | 6'6" | 335 | 24 | Auburn; Oregon |
| DL | — | Josiah Green | 6'1" | 280 | 23 | Duke; Dartmouth |
| DL | — | Nash Hutmacher | 6'4" | 310 | 25 | Nebraska |
Edge Rushers · 6
| Pos | Depth | Player | Ht | Wt | Age | College |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SLB | 1st | YaYa Diaby | 6'4" | 270 | 27 | Louisville |
| SLB | 2nd | Al-Quadin Muhammad | 6'3" | 250 | 31 | Miami (FL) |
| WLB | 2nd | Anthony Nelson | 6'7" | 271 | 29 | Iowa |
| SLB | 3rd | Mohamed Kamara | 6'1" | 253 | 26 | Colorado State |
| WLB | 3rd | Chris Braswell | 6'3" | 255 | 24 | Alabama |
| WLB | 4th | David Walker | 6'2" | 260 | 26 | Central Arkansas |
Linebackers · 10
| Pos | Depth | Player | Ht | Wt | Age | College |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LILB | 1st | Alex Anzalone | 6'3" | 234 | 31 | Florida |
| RILB | 1st | Christian Rozeboom | 6'2" | 230 | 29 | South Dakota State |
| LILB | 2nd | Josiah Trotter | 6'2" | 240 | 21 | Missouri |
| RILB | 2nd | SirVocea Dennis | 6'0" | 230 | 26 | Pittsburgh |
| LILB | 3rd | John Bullock | 6'0" | 230 | 25 | Nebraska |
| RILB | 3rd | Nick Jackson | 6'0" | 235 | 25 | Iowa |
| LB | — | Caden Fordham | 6'1" | 232 | 23 | N.C. State |
| LB | — | Jack Pyburn | 6'3" | 258 | 22 | LSU; Florida |
| LB | — | Javin Wright | 6'4" | 232 | 26 | Nebraska |
| LB | — | Yasir Holmes | 6'4" | 240 | 24 | Tarleton State; Frostburg State |
Defensive Backs · 16
| Pos | Depth | Player | Ht | Wt | Age | College |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FS | 1st | Antoine Winfield | 5'9" | 203 | 27 | Minnesota |
| LCB | 1st | Zyon McCollum | 6'2" | 199 | 27 | Sam Houston State |
| NB | 1st | Jacob Parrish | 5'10" | 198 | 22 | Kansas State |
| RCB | 1st | Benjamin Morrison | 6'0" | 190 | 22 | Notre Dame |
| SS | 1st | Tykee Smith | 5'10" | 202 | 25 | Georgia |
| FS | 2nd | Rashad Wisdom | 5'9" | 210 | 25 | UTSA |
| LCB | 2nd | Damarion Williams | 5'10" | 183 | 27 | Houston |
| NB | 2nd | Keionte Scott | 6'0" | 194 | 24 | Miami |
| RCB | 2nd | Josh Hayes | 6'0" | 190 | 27 | Kansas State |
| SS | 2nd | Miles Killebrew | 6'2" | 222 | 33 | Southern Utah |
| NB | 3rd | Chase Lucas | 5'11" | 184 | 29 | Arizona State |
| NB | 4th | Kemon Hall | 5'11" | 190 | 29 | North Texas |
| DB | — | Ayden Garnes | 6'0" | 183 | 23 | Arizona; West Virginia |
| DB | — | JJ Roberts | 6'0" | 195 | 24 | Marshall |
| DB | — | Ja'Qurious Conley | 6'1" | 215 | 25 | Charlotte; North Carolina |
| DB | — | Marcus Banks | 6'0" | 190 | 25 | Mississippi State; Alabama |
Special Teams · 11
| Pos | Depth | Player | Ht | Wt | Age | College |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | 1st | Riley Dixon | 6'4" | 221 | 32 | Syracuse |
| KR | 1st | Kenneth Gainwell | 5'9" | 200 | 27 | Memphis |
| P | 1st | Riley Dixon | 6'4" | 221 | 32 | Syracuse |
| PK | 1st | Chase McLaughlin | 6'0" | 190 | 30 | Illinois |
| PR | 1st | Kameron Johnson | 5'10" | 170 | 24 | Barton |
| KR | 2nd | Kameron Johnson | 5'10" | 170 | 24 | Barton |
| PR | 2nd | Tez Johnson | 5'10" | 165 | 24 | Oregon |
| KR | 3rd | Sean Tucker | 5'10" | 205 | 24 | Syracuse |
| KR | 4th | Josh Williams | 5'9" | 210 | 26 | LSU |
| LS | — | Evan Deckers | 6'3" | 252 | 27 | Duke |
| LS | — | Scott Daly | 6'1" | 245 | 32 | Notre Dame |
Team Profile
2025 · pct vs league
| Pass Off | -0.03 | #22 | 32% |
| Rush Off | 0.01 | #11 | 68% |
| Pass Def | 0.07 | #20 | 39% |
| Rush Def | -0.07 | #4 | 90% |
| Scoring Off | 380 | #18 | 45% |
| Scoring Def | 411 | #20 | 39% |
Advanced Profile
2025 · rank of 32
Pass Protection
Pressure % allowed15.0%1st
Sack % allowed6.4%15th
Pocket time2.29s27th
Run Blocking
Yds before contact / rush2.7yd8th
Pass Rush
Pressures13123rd
Sacks3715th
Coverage
Completion % allowed66.3%18th
Passer rtg allowed10025th
Special Teams
FG %84.2%19th
Punt net avg40.2yd27th
Identity
Avg depth of target8.1yd—
aggregated from roster PFR / special-teams stats · green = top of league
EPA Trend
EPA/play by season · adj
NetOffDefDef: lower = better
Performance · 2025
8-9 · -31 pt diff
| Metric | Off | Def | Rk |
|---|---|---|---|
| EPA / play (adj) | +0.013 | +0.025 | 19 |
| EPA / play (raw) | -0.002 | +0.021 | 21/14 |
| Pass EPA | -0.026 | +0.068 | 22/20 |
| Rush EPA | +0.014 | -0.072 | 11/4 |
| Points | 380 | 411 | — |
Lower def EPA = better. Ranks: 1 best, 32 worst.
Scoring Trend
2025 · pts/game
PPG For
22.4
18th in NFL
PPG Against
24.2
20th in NFL
Differential
-1.8
19th in NFL
— Points for— Points against
dots: W / LSeason Results
8-9 · 5-12 ATS
WinLossCoveredmargin per game
Season History · last 10
5 playoffs · SB 1-0
| Season | Regular | Playoffs | Super Bowl |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 8-9 | — | — |
| 2024 | 10-7 | 0-1 | — |
| 2023 | 9-8 | 1-1 | — |
| 2022 | 8-9 | 0-1 | — |
| 2021 | 13-4 | 1-1 | — |
| 2020 | 11-5 | 4-0 | Won |
| 2019 | 7-9 | — | — |
| 2018 | 5-11 | — | — |
| 2017 | 5-11 | — | — |
| 2016 | 9-7 | — | — |
Situational Splits
2025 · record · pts
| Split | Record | PF | PA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Venue | |||
| Home | 4-4 | 23.9 | 23.6 |
| Away | 4-5 | 21 | 24.7 |
| Competition | |||
| One-score (≤8) | 6-6 | 23.2 | 23.9 |
| vs Winning teams | 3-5 | 23 | 29.2 |
| Environment | |||
| Indoors | 3-2 | 16.4 | 20 |
| Outdoors | 5-7 | 24.8 | 25.9 |
| Grass | 4-6 | 22.8 | 23.2 |
| Turf | 4-3 | 21.7 | 25.6 |
| Cold (<40°F) | 0-1 | 32 | 44 |
Recent Form · last 5
1-4 SU · 0-5 ATS · O2/U3
Betting Profile
2025
| Straight up | 8-9 |
| ATS | 5-1229% |
| Over / Under | 8-9 O-U |
| — ATS splits — | |
| As favorite | 2-4 |
| As underdog | 3-8 |
| Home | 1-7 |
| Away | 4-5 |
vs closing line · splits show cover-no cover
Cap & Roster Construction
APY $213M· gtd $283M
OFF $93.3M (44%)DEF $113M (53%)ST $7.1M
| Group | Players | APY | % Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| QB | 2 | $34.7M | 16% |
| RB | 4 | $12.8M | 6% |
| WR | 7 | $32.2M | 15% |
| TE | 4 | $13.7M | 6% |
| DL | 7 | $35.6M | 17% |
| EDGE | 6 | $14.5M | 7% |
| LB | 5 | $13.2M | 6% |
| DB | 11 | $49.3M | 23% |
| ST | 2 | $7.1M | 3% |
Top Contracts
| Player | Yrs | Total | Gtd | APY | Cap% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baker MayfieldQB | 3 | $100M | $40.0M | $33.3M | 13.1% |
| Chris GodwinWR | 3 | $66.0M | $44.0M | $22.0M | 7.9% |
| Antoine WinfieldS | 4 | $84.1M | $45.0M | $21.0M | 8.2% |
| Vita VeaDT | 4 | $71.0M | $14.7M | $17.8M | 9.7% |
| Zyon McCollumCB | 3 | $48.0M | $20.0M | $16.0M | 5.7% |
| Cade OttonTE | 3 | $30.0M | $20.0M | $10.0M | 3.3% |
Pending Free Agents
| Player | Free | APY |
|---|---|---|
| Vita VeaDT | 2025 | $17.8M |
| Baker MayfieldQB | 2027 | $33.3M |
| A'Shawn RobinsonDT | 2027 | $10.0M |
| Anthony NelsonDE | 2027 | $5.0M |
| Chase McLaughlinPK | 2027 | $4.1M |
| Al-Quadin MuhammadDE | 2027 | $4.0M |
| Calijah KanceyDT | 2027 | $3.6M |
| Sean TuckerRB | 2027 | $3.5M |
Roster Profile
avg age 26.4
R1 4Day2 12Day3 26UDFA 20
Homegrown 0 (0%)Acquired 62
Avg experience3.7 yrs
Rookies / Vets (8+ yr)7 / 10
| Group | Players | Avg Age |
|---|---|---|
| QB | 3 | 28 |
| RB | 4 | 25 |
| WR | 9 | 25.2 |
| TE | 5 | 26 |
| DL | 8 | 26.9 |
| EDGE | 6 | 27.2 |
| LB | 6 | 26.2 |
| DB | 12 | 26.4 |
| ST | 9 | 27 |
Injury Report · 2
last report week 0
| Pos | Player | Status |
|---|---|---|
| CB | Benjamin Morrison | Questionable |
| RB | Bucky Irving | Questionable |
TB News
20 items
- Todd Bowles suggests 2025 Buccaneers took plays offAfter the Buccaneers blew a big lead on a Thursday night against the Falcons, he let the expletives fly regarding the team's in-game deficiencies.TB16h
- Bucs lost OTA after NFL made random request for practice filmWhen the Buccaneers lost an OTA day due to excessive contact during practice, coach Todd Bowles didn't say much about it.TB1d
- Bucs coach Todd Bowles: Vita Vea's hold-in 'not concerning'Bucs defensive tackle Vita Vea is entering the final year of his $71 million contract, without guaranteed money, and is not physically participating in practice.
- Todd Bowles: Vita Vea situation is not concerningDefensive tackle Vita Vea didn't practice at Buccaneers minicamp this week because he's looking for a new contract.
- Damien Woody: Bucs are playing a dangerous game with Baker MayfieldDamien Woody: Bucs are playing a dangerous game with Baker Mayfield
- Buccaneers cancel their final minicamp practiceThe Buccaneers will wrap up their offseason program a day earlier than expected.TB2d
- Baker Mayfield pushes back on talk that he needs to do more to protect himself from hits"I've started every single game last year — for the three years," Mayfield said.
- Report: Vita Vea's non-participation in minicamp is "contract-related"Buccaneers defensive tackle Vita Vea is attending the team's mandatory minicamp, avoiding a $107,911 fine for missing all three days.
- Baker Mayfield agreed to Netflix's Quarterback show after turning it down in the pastThe upcoming season of Netflix's Quarterback show will feature Baker Mayfield, Jayden Daniels, Joe Flacco and Cam Ward.
- Bucs' Baker Mayfield pushes back on durability; talks contractBucs QB Baker Mayfield pushed back Tuesday at the notion that he needs to better protect himself while adding that he and the team are not close on contract negotiations.
- Baker Mayfield: Contract situation is "pretty much the same"Mayfield says the uncertainty won't affect him.
- Buccaneers want Baker Mayfield to protect himself better to stay healthyBucs coach Todd Bowles would like to see Mayfield do more to avoid taking hits.
- Buccaneers to open eight training camp practices to fansThe Buccaneers will open eight of their training camp practices to fans this summer.TB3d
- Jason Licht: No one wants to see Baker Mayfield leaveThe Buccaneers and quarterback Baker Mayfield are on a contractual collision course.
- Why McAfee isn't concerned over Baker Mayfield's contract statusWhy McAfee isn't concerned over Baker Mayfield's contract status
- Todd Bowles: Baker Mayfield's a true pro, contract will take care of itselfThere are issues for the Buccaneers and quarterback Baker Mayfield to work out on the business side, but there's been no issues on the football side of things.
- Bucs' Bowles backs Mayfield as long-term QB amid contract talksBucs coach Todd Bowles said he "absolutely" wants Baker Mayfield as his long-term quarterback and that he doesn't believe the lack of progress on a new deal has impacted him.
- Bowles: 'Too many guys on the ground' costs Bucs an OTA practiceThe Buccaneers were penalized an OTA practice for being too physical, causing them to forfeit Wednesday's practice this week, coach Todd Bowles said Thursday.TB7d
- The Buccaneers lost an offseason practice for having "too many guys on the ground"The Buccaneers didn't practice on Tuesday, by choice.TB7d
- Bucky Irving takes part in Thursday's Buccaneers practiceBuccaneers head coach Todd Bowles said last month that the team expects running back Bucky Irving to return to action "sometime in the summer or fall" and things appear to be moving a little more quickly.