MLB Projections · HR

2024 season · projected (median) · pitchers · per ~700 BF (role-blind v1)

TypeBatters PitchersStatSO BB HR Hits ERSeason2026 2025 2024

Top 100

2024 proj

#	Player	Pos	Tm	SO	BB	HR ↓	H	ER
1	AJ Smith-Shawver	P	ATL	148	62	30	150	79
2	Lyon Richardson	P	CIN	149	75	30	151	86
3	Brandon Pfaadt	P	AZ	152	51	29	162	82
4	Elieser Hernández	P	MIL	155	50	28	153	81
5	Patrick Corbin	P	TOR	115	51	28	182	91
6	Lance Lynn	P	STL	148	48	28	159	82
7	Andrew Heaney	P	LAD	170	56	28	155	80
8	Taj Bradley	P	MIN	190	58	28	154	79
9	Austin Gomber	P	COL	122	52	28	176	89
10	Matt Waldron	P	SD	136	57	28	162	84
11	Julio Teherán	P	NYM	128	46	28	166	82
12	Jordan Lyles	P	KC	120	51	28	170	87
13	Ross Stripling	P	ATH	135	32	28	167	81
14	Louis Varland	P	TOR	161	47	27	158	78
15	Tyler Wells	P	BAL	157	49	27	146	77
16	Jonathan Heasley	P	TB	120	60	27	152	77
17	Yusei Kikuchi	P	LAA	176	63	27	157	79
18	Jameson Taillon	P	CHC	138	44	27	163	81
19	Slade Cecconi	P	CLE	140	47	27	166	81
20	Bailey Falter	P	KC	143	45	27	170	86
21	Jorge Alcalá	P	STL	159	62	27	143	72
22	Drew Smyly	P	CHC	150	56	27	158	79
23	Brock Burke	P	CIN	160	48	27	160	69
24	Dylan Dodd	P	ATL	109	56	27	176	90
25	Cody Bradford	P	TEX	149	48	27	158	82
26	Kyle Freeland	P	COL	109	50	26	183	87
27	Carlos Carrasco	P	ATL	135	52	26	169	86
28	Michael Kopech	P	LAD	166	78	26	153	78
29	Trevor Williams	P	WSH	132	50	26	176	84
30	Domingo Germán	P	PIT	159	48	26	148	78
31	Kyle Harrison	P	MIL	155	61	26	151	79
32	Quinn Priester	P	MIL	138	68	26	164	92
33	Josiah Gray	P	WSH	155	72	26	156	82
34	Marco Gonzales	P	PIT	116	52	26	166	86
35	Ryan Yarbrough	P	NYY	121	37	26	172	81
36	Luke Weaver	P	NYM	142	50	26	173	85
37	Joe Ryan	P	MIN	191	44	26	154	72
38	JP Sears	P	SD	143	53	26	158	80
39	Amos Willingham	P	WSH	124	61	26	159	77
40	Ben Lively	P	CLE	144	50	26	163	87
41	Ty Blach	P	CHC	108	51	26	181	85
42	Alex Faedo	P	DET	145	59	26	155	80
43	Tyler Alexander	P	TEX	148	40	26	161	72
44	Dean Kremer	P	BAL	140	53	26	162	81
45	Josh Rogers	P	COL	112	58	26	163	83
46	José Ureña	P	LAA	112	66	26	171	87
47	Adam Oller	P	MIA	114	71	26	161	93
48	Tommy Henry	P	AZ	134	63	26	161	80
49	Erasmo Ramírez	P	MIN	124	37	26	168	82
50	Johnny Cueto	P	LAA	119	45	26	165	81
51	Erick Fedde	P	CWS	132	63	26	168	88
52	Ronel Blanco	P	HOU	154	73	26	154	79
53	Cole Irvin	P	MIN	128	41	25	167	82
54	Ryan Pepiot	P	TB	162	56	25	145	71
55	Zach Plesac	P	LAA	119	49	25	171	87
56	Chase Anderson	P	TEX	132	66	25	164	86
57	Rich Hill	P	KC	135	55	25	162	87
58	Luis Severino	P	ATH	162	53	25	164	82
59	Allan Winans	P	NYY	155	54	25	163	82
60	Hunter Greene	P	CIN	208	65	25	147	77
61	José Berríos	P	TOR	152	48	25	160	81
62	Kenta Maeda	P	DET	170	48	25	153	76
63	Chris Flexen	P	CHC	120	50	25	170	84
64	Chad Kuhl	P	CWS	137	72	25	156	84
65	Chase Silseth	P	LAA	163	70	25	153	77
66	Jackson Rutledge	P	WSH	127	56	25	170	84
67	Jhony Brito	P	SD	148	54	25	159	81
68	Max Scherzer	P	TOR	184	44	25	142	68
69	Jake Irvin	P	WSH	147	64	25	158	82
70	Vladimir Gutiérrez	P	MIA	139	69	25	155	87
71	Ryan Borucki	P	SF	154	52	25	153	73
72	Brandon Williamson	P	CIN	149	55	25	159	82
73	Daniel Lynch	P	KC	137	59	25	173	89
74	Griffin Canning	P	SD	166	56	25	157	77
75	Yonny Chirinos	P	MIA	126	51	25	169	79
76	Hunter Gaddis	P	CLE	119	54	25	170	84
77	Tylor Megill	P	NYM	150	58	25	162	83
78	Shane Baz	P	BAL	171	59	25	149	79
79	Humberto Castellanos	P	AZ	138	53	25	165	82
80	Austin Pruitt	P	TEX	120	38	25	161	70
81	Tyler Mahle	P	SF	170	55	25	149	73
82	Colin Rea	P	CHC	149	50	25	158	82
83	John Means	P	BAL	133	44	25	159	78
84	Drew Smith	P	NYM	175	67	25	141	71
85	Ty Adcock	P	NYM	152	49	25	151	70
86	Trevor Richards	P	CWS	207	72	25	133	74
87	David Buchanan	P	CIN	102	49	24	181	95
88	Bailey Ober	P	MIN	164	39	24	156	71
89	Jordan Weems	P	HOU	166	66	24	138	78
90	José Ruiz	P	ATL	156	70	24	151	76
91	Peter Lambert	P	HOU	149	53	24	166	85
92	Hayden Wesneski	P	HOU	153	52	24	154	78
93	Cristian Javier	P	HOU	183	66	24	150	73
94	Bryse Wilson	P	CWS	135	52	24	163	77
95	Matt Koch	P	COL	137	45	24	162	81
96	Joe Ross	P	TEX	151	57	24	155	79
97	Mike Clevinger	P	CWS	139	53	24	159	80
98	Néstor Cortés	P	SD	178	50	24	148	66
99	Kolby Allard	P	CLE	147	50	24	162	86
100	Aaron Nola	P	PHI	189	38	24	154	71